Game theory on advertising




















Doing nothing would just perpetuate a stalemate. However, if they each take opposite strategies lower left and upper right boxes , both maximize sales and profits. This actually does reflect what happens in the real world. Although equilibrium is rarely reached in one step, markets eventually do segment.

A brand differentiator who slashes prices or a discounter who tries to charge a premium is in for a long, hard slog. Of course, most markets are made up of more than two competitors.

These situations are called n-player games and they are usually based on coalitions. We can see that there are two natural coalitions, but neither is dominant.

If one coalition would like to control the agenda inthe form of industry initiatives, government lobbying, etc. The only thing that matters is the likelihood of casting the 51st vote and, in this example, all players are roughly equal in that respect. Again, although we are looking at a fairly simple model, it goes a long way toward understanding what happens in the real world. In many cases, being seen as the most powerful player can be a disadvantage because it encourages antagonistic coalition building a situation that Google seems determined to head off.

In reality, game theory is hard to implement directly because we rarely know the actual values to plug into the models. However, it is extremely useful in helping us understand basic forces at work. It forces us to discipline our thinking and shows how even given some simple rules, we can arrive at some surprising conclusions. While much of the literature surrounding game theory is highly technical, Dixit and Nalebuff have written a highly readable book that will guide you through the basic concepts.

I have a question. So according to the last matrix brands take different strategies to maximize profits. I often have trouble understanding these matrices so I would really appreciate it if you explain a bit more. Thanks for pointing it out.

Get in a bad place and you could be there for a while. Does it justify your spending on it? Based on the results, was it reasonable to spend that kind of money on this channel, and should you continue to do so? These are the kind of questions that marketing attribution addresses. More formally:. Marketing attribution is the process of assigning the credit of a purchase or any other action of interest, such as subscribing to a newsletter or downloading some content — this is what we call a conversion to the right marketing channels, given all the channels that the customer interacted with prior to the purchase.

Why is it important? It is pretty straightforward to see how attributing conversions to the right channels might boost sales and benefit the company. First of all, and most importantly, by optimizing your spending on the right channels, you will naturally improve the ROI, which is the ultimate goal of any marketing strategy. Second, actually knowing which channels drove the conversions simply improves your understanding of the customer journeys and enables you to enhance and adjust your marketing strategy accordingly.

You might ask yourself at this point: Do I even have a marketing attribution problem? The answer is probably yes! This makes it notoriously difficult to attribute credit to the right marketing channel and calls for an adequate attribution analysis.

It is safe to say that this problem is not a recent one and that marketing attribution is now a mature field, with most organizations reporting that they already perform some kind of attribution analysis. Unfortunately, the most widely used techniques today for marketing attribution have some ingrained biases that makes them ineffective.

We are going to have a look at one of these models, which is perhaps the most known and used model of them all: the last click model:. As the name suggests, this model consists of attributing the credit of the purchase entirely to the marketing channel prior to that purchase.

How about the other channels? If it is the case that the remaining channels should get no credit, could we safely discard them and retain all of our conversions? Probably not! The common main flaw that these models share is the fact that they base the attributions solely on a set of rules e. One approach gaining traction is the game theory attribution model patented by marketing metrics software provider — and recent SAP acquisition — Abakus.

First defined in , game theory is the mathematical study of how and why people make decisions. Game theory attribution is the application of game theory to marketing — and it could bring tremendous value to the discipline. Until marketers can use neuroscience to read our minds, they might just be right. This is a BETA experience. However, after the advertisement ban in , all four major tobacco companies increased their profit.

Although advertisement is useful to increase their brand presence, it does not have much significance in distinguishing one particular brand from others when all of them have advertisement. The following chart describes a hypothetical profit that each company will make based on advertisement presence.

Nash equilibrium suggests the solution to a problem that two parties are non-cooperative.



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